GCSE · Scatter graphs & correlation

Predicting from a line of best fitExam-style questions

How to read an estimate off a line of best fit in both directions, why a prediction inside the data is trustworthy and one outside it is not, and what the gradient of the line means in the context of the question.

10 questions · GCSE (Higher) level · mark scheme and worked solution on each · no sign-up to try

DifficultyAllLevel 1Level 2Level 3Level 4Level 5
  1. 1
    The scatter graph shows the number of hours of exercise per week and the resting pulse rate, in beats per minute, of 14 students. A line of best fit has been drawn.12345678556065707580859095hours of exercise per weekresting pulse (bpm)(a) Use the line of best fit to estimate the resting pulse rate of a student who exercises for 55 hours per week.

    (b) Sam says the estimate in part (a) must be reliable, because 55 hours is inside the range of the data. Comment on Sam's statement.
    Level 4 · 4 marksTry it
  2. 2
    The scatter graph shows the number of hours of sleep and the reaction time, in milliseconds, of 13 people. A line of best fit has been drawn.45678910200210220230240250260270280hours of sleepreaction time (ms)(a) Use the line of best fit to estimate the reaction time of a person who slept for 99 hours.

    (b) A person has a reaction time of 250250 milliseconds. Use the line of best fit to estimate the number of hours that person slept.

    (c) Explain why your answer to part (b) is only an estimate.
    Level 4 · 4 marksTry it
  3. 3
    A candle is lit and its length is measured once an hour for the first 66 hours. The results are plotted on a scatter graph and a line of best fit is drawn. The line has equation

    L=20−2t,L = 20 - 2t,

    where LL cm is the length of the candle and tt is the time in hours since it was lit.

    (a) Use the line of best fit to estimate the length of the candle after 4.54.5 hours.

    (b) Work out the length that this line of best fit predicts after 1515 hours.

    (c) Use your answer to part (b) to explain why the line of best fit should not be used to make a prediction for 1515 hours.
    Level 4 · 5 marksTry it