GCSE · Scatter graphs & correlation

Predicting from a line of best fitExam-style questions

How to read an estimate off a line of best fit in both directions, why a prediction inside the data is trustworthy and one outside it is not, and what the gradient of the line means in the context of the question.

10 questions · GCSE (Higher) level · mark scheme and worked solution on each · no sign-up to try

DifficultyAllLevel 1Level 2Level 3Level 4Level 5
  1. 1
    The scatter graph shows the hours students revised and their test scores, with a line of best fit.24681020304050607080Hours revisedTest scoreUse the line of best fit to estimate the score of a student who revised for 4.54.5 hours.
    Level 1 · 1 markTry it
  2. 2
    The scatter graph shows the hours students revised and their test scores, with a line of best fit.24681020304050607080Hours revisedTest scoreExplain why the line should not be used to estimate the score of a student who revised for 2020 hours.
    Level 1 · 1 markTry it
  3. 3
    On 14 days a beach café recorded the number of hours of sunshine and the number of customers it served. The scatter graph shows the results, with a line of best fit drawn.1234567850100150200hours of sunshinecustomers(a) Use the line of best fit to estimate the number of customers on a day with 33 hours of sunshine.

    (b) On another day the café served 150150 customers. Use the line of best fit to estimate the number of hours of sunshine on that day.
    Level 2 · 4 marksTry it
  4. 4
    Eleven bean plants were measured on various days in the first week after planting. The scatter graph shows the results, with a line of best fit drawn.1234567510152025days since plantingheight (cm)(a) Use the line of best fit to estimate the height of a bean plant 44 days after planting.

    (b) Ravi wants to use the same line of best fit to estimate the height of a bean plant 3030 days after planting. Explain why his estimate is unlikely to be reliable.
    Level 3 · 3 marksTry it
  5. 5
    For each of 15 small shops, the number of hours hh the shop was open on a Saturday and the shop's takings £TT that day were recorded on a scatter graph.

    The shops in the sample were open for between 44 and 99 hours, and the line of best fit has equation

    T=45h+60.T = 45h + 60.

    (a) Use the line of best fit to estimate the takings of a shop that was open for 77 hours.

    (b) Explain why the line of best fit should not be used to estimate the takings of a shop that was open for 2424 hours.

    (c) Write down what the number 4545 in the equation tells you about these shops.
    Level 3 · 4 marksTry it

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