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Statistics · Statistical sampling

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Random sampling — simple, systematic and stratified

The three sampling methods that use chance: simple random sampling (every sample equally likely), systematic sampling (every kth unit after a random start), and stratified sampling (proportional allocation across groups), with how to carry each out and the advantages and drawbacks that examiners ask for.

Statistics · Statistical sampling

Random sampling — simple, systematic and stratified

The three sampling methods that use chance: simple random sampling (every sample equally likely), systematic sampling (every kth unit after a random start), and stratified sampling (proportional allocation across groups), with how to carry each out and the advantages and drawbacks that examiners ask for.

Why it works

A sampling method is random when chance — not a person's choice — decides who's in the sample. That's what lets you argue a sample is unbiased. There are three on the AS course, and the exam wants you to carry each one out, *recognise it from a description, and state an advantage or disadvantage*.

Simple random sampling. Every possible sample of size nn is equally likely, so every sampling unit has the same chance of being chosen. To do it you need a sampling frame: number every unit 1,2,3,,N1, 2, 3, \dots, N, then pick nn different numbers using a random source (a random number generator, random number tables, or drawing numbered tickets from a hat). Ignore repeats and any number outside 11NN.
  • Advantages: free of bias; every unit equally likely; simple when NN is small.
  • Disadvantages: you must have a full sampling frame (a complete list), and it
becomes slow and expensive for a large population.

Systematic sampling. Choose units at a regular interval down an ordered list. The interval is k=population sizesample size=Nn,k = \frac{\text{population size}}{\text{sample size}} = \frac{N}{n}, and the start is a randomly chosen number between 11 and kk. From there you take every kkth unit. For example, N=800N = 800, n=50n = 50 gives k=16k = 16: pick a random start in 111616, say 77, then take units 7,23,39,55,7, 23, 39, 55, \dots
  • Advantages: quick and simple, and works well for large populations.
  • Disadvantages: you still need an ordered list, and bias creeps in if the list
has a repeating pattern whose period lines up with kk (e.g. every 16th house being a corner house).

The random start is what keeps systematic sampling random — without it, the sample is completely determined and it's no longer a random method.

Stratified sampling. When the population splits into distinct non-overlapping groups — strata — such as year groups, genders or shifts, you sample each stratum in proportion to its size. The number taken from a stratum is number from stratum=stratum sizepopulation size×sample size.\text{number from stratum} = \frac{\text{stratum size}}{\text{population size}} \times \text{sample size}. Within each stratum you then use simple random sampling. Because the sample mirrors the make-up of the population, it represents those groups well.
  • Advantages: reflects the population structure, so it's representative of each
stratum; improves on simple random sampling when groups differ.
  • Disadvantages: you must know which stratum each unit is in and the size of each
stratum, and it only works when the population has clear strata.

A quick check: the numbers taken from all the strata should add back up to nn (round sensibly so they do).