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Statistics · Probability

Chapter 1 · 3

The idea

Set notation for events

Writing events with set notation — intersection ∩, union ∪ and complement ′ — matching each to a region of a Venn diagram, and the probability rules that go with them (P(A′) = 1 − P(A), P(A ∩ B′) = P(A) − P(A ∩ B)).

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Statistics · Probability

Set notation for events

Writing events with set notation — intersection ∩, union ∪ and complement ′ — matching each to a region of a Venn diagram, and the probability rules that go with them (P(A′) = 1 − P(A), P(A ∩ B′) = P(A) − P(A ∩ B)).

Why it works

Events are sets

"What's the probability that AA happens but BB doesn't?" — English gets clumsy fast when events start combining, and clumsiness costs marks. The fix is that an event is just a set of outcomes, so the language of sets gives a precise, compact way to describe any combination. Three symbols do almost all the work:
  • Intersection A∩BA \cap B — outcomes in both AA and BB ("AA and BB").
  • Union A∪BA \cup B — outcomes in AA or BB or both ("AA or BB").
  • Complement A′A' — outcomes not in AA ("not AA").

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The rest of the explanation, plus 3 worked examples you step through move by move.

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