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Statistics · Sampling

Chapter 1 · 3

The idea

Bias & sampling methods

What bias really is — a method that systematically leaves people out, so a bigger sample never fixes it — how to name who is missing, the strengths and weaknesses of random, systematic, stratified and convenience sampling, and how to criticise and rewrite a questionnaire.

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Statistics · Sampling

Bias & sampling methods

What bias really is — a method that systematically leaves people out, so a bigger sample never fixes it — how to name who is missing, the strengths and weaknesses of random, systematic, stratified and convenience sampling, and how to criticise and rewrite a questionnaire.

Why it works

What bias actually is

A sample is a stand-in. You cannot ask all 46 00046\,000 people in a town, so you ask 200200 and then talk as if what those 200200 said is what the town thinks. That swap is only honest if the 200200 are like the town. Bias is what happens when the way you chose them guarantees they are not.

Be precise about the word. Bias is not "an unlucky sample", and it is not "too few people". It is a property of the method: a method is biased when it systematically over-represents one part of the population, or leaves another part out altogether. Systematic is the key word: it pushes the answer the same way every time.

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