Leave lesson

Statistics · Statistical distributions

Chapter 1 · 3

The idea

The normal approximation to the Poisson distribution

When λ is large, a Poisson count is close to N(λ, λ): rescale λ to the whole interval, correct for continuity, standardise with √λ, and run the same steps backwards to find a threshold count or an unknown λ, or to test a rate over a long interval.

A full journey — read it, play with it, work it, then earn real exam marks. Everything stays on the timeline below.

In this lesson — start anywhere

Statistics · Statistical distributions

The normal approximation to the Poisson distribution

When λ is large, a Poisson count is close to N(λ, λ): rescale λ to the whole interval, correct for continuity, standardise with √λ, and run the same steps backwards to find a threshold count or an unknown λ, or to test a rate over a long interval.

Why it works

Too many terms to add

A seismometer on the side of a volcano records small tremors at random, at a mean rate of 2.52.5 per day. The scientists plan a 1010-day campaign. How likely is it that they record more than 3030 tremors?

The number of tremors is X∼Po(25)X \sim \text{Po}(25), and exactly, P(X>30)=1−P(X≤30)P(X > 30) = 1 - P(X \le 30): thirty-one Poisson terms, one for each count from 00 to 3030. Draw the distribution, though, and its shape is one you already know. The bars trace out a bell.

Keep reading — free

The rest of the explanation, plus 5 worked examples you step through move by move.

Start free

Takes a minute — no card.